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- November 24: TWC Issue 3
November 24: TWC Issue 3
Good Moo-rning, Legends! š®āØ
Exams results are just 5 days away for our ANU famāhang tight, youāre almost there! ššŖ
Itās a bit of a slow week at the office, with coffee breaks feeling longer than meetings. And of course, everyoneās still processing Trumpās election winābecause, letās be honest, geopolitics feels like the worldās spiciest reality show right now.
Hereās to surviving the weekāone coffee and deep breath at a time! šā
Markets (USD) - Weekly
NASDAQ | 19,003.65 | +1.73% |
S&P 500 | 5,969.34 | +1.68% |
D-JIA | 44,296.51 | +1.96% |
2-Year Yield | 4.384% | +7.7 bps |
10-Year Yield | 4.411% | -3.4 bps |
Bitcoin | $98,552.72 | +7.88% |
Nvidia | $141.95 | +1.86% |
November 21
š»ā”ļøNvidia Soars While Huawei Hustles: AI Chip Wars Heat Up
Image Source: Raysonho, Scalable Grid Engine
Nvidiaās latest Q3 earnings have solidified its spot as the AI kingpin. With revenue hitting a record $35.1 billion, well above expectations, and its Data Center business (its main cash cow) raked in $30.8 billion (up 112% from last year). Gaming revenue also impressed at $3.3 billion, beating forecasts.
Oh, and theyāre already teasing their next big thing: The Blackwell chip, with shipments starting now and full production ramping up next year. But, hold onto your GPUsāPresident-elect Trumpās potential tariffs on Taiwan-made chips (Nvidiaās supplier: TSMC) could dent margins or jack up prices. For now though, Nvidiaās 192% YTD stock gain leaves competitors like AMD and Intel far behind.
Meanwhile, Huawei is stepping up to fill the gap left by Nvidia after U.S. restrictions barred the California-based chip giant from shipping its GPUs to China. Enter Huaweiās Ascend 910C, an AI chip targeting mass production by 2025 with samples already sent to major players like ByteDance. Pre-orders top 70,000 unitsāa cool $2 billion in potential sales.
November 18
Only With Us in Spirit?
Artwork Source: YordiBlu, X, and Companieslogo.com
Spirit Airlines has filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection Monday after struggling amid soaring debts and intense competition. Known for its low-cost bare-bones ticket model (limited amenities), Spirit has faced a string of setbacks recently including a blocked merger with JetBlue and ongoing engine issues from supplier Pratt & Whitney. The airline has reported losses exceeding $2.2 billion since 2020, with around $9 billion in debt.
Despite these challenges, the spirit remains high over at Spirit Airlines HQ as CEO Ted Christie stated that their recent debt restructuring deal with bondholders signals a strong vote of confidence and that customers can still use their tickets, credits and loyalty points as normal throughout the bankruptcy process. Additionally, the airlineās 12,800 employees are expected to continue working as planned as the airline hopes to exit bankruptcy by early next year.
November 19
Grand Theft, Auto Bond?
Image Source: Eric Fischer, Wikipedia Commons
Auto-loan (car-loan) delinquency rates are at a 14-year high of 3.8%, a level not seen since the years following the GFC, with stress concentrated in lower-income borrowers as the cost-of-living crunch continues.
Despite what looks like a red flag, auto bonds are selling like hotcakes. Recent bond offerings have been over 20x oversubscribed and this year $40 billion worth of subprime auto-bonds have been purchased, so far - a jump of 17% from 2023 with investors hungry for high-returns.
However, investors believe delinquency rates are manageable as long as the US economy continues strong, but Trumpās eventual return to the Oval Office and his love for aggressive economic policy might turn this bull run into a bumpy ride.
November 20
Trade War 2.0: Trump to Tariff
Image Source: rawpixel.com / U.S. Department of Agriculture
American firms are dusting off their tariff playbook as Trumpās second term signals a return to steep duties on Chinese imports - this time up to 60%. Import-oriented businesses are spooked, opting to stockpile Chinese goods.
Recent data showed that Chinese exports shot up by 12.7% compared to October 2023, an increase that was forecasted to be only 5%. Still, front-loading isnāt a long-term fix. Many firms are accelerating their move to SE Asia with Vietnam and Cambodia gaining traction as alternative manufacturing hubs.
If Trump follows through on his election promises businesses will have no choice but to change suppliers or pay the tariffs - leading to higher prices for all consumers. RIP $10 Temu hauls, you will be missed.
November 21
š Adani $27 Billion Meltdown: Bribes, Bonds, and Big Troubles
Image Source: Free Malaysia Today
Adani Group stocks took a nosedive on Thursday, wiping out $27 billion in market value after U.S. prosecutors hit Gautam Adani with fraud and bribery charges. The allegations? $250 million in bribes paid to Indian officials to land contracts for the countryās largest solar power project, projected to rake in $2 billion in profits over 20 years.
But wait, thereās more. The defendants allegedly raised $3 billion in loans and bonds while keeping investors in the dark about the bribery scheme.
The fallout was brutal:
Flagship Adani Enterprises sank 23%, while Adani Green Energy and Adani Energy dropped 19% and 20%, respectively. Additionally, Adani Green Energy shelved plans for a $600 million bond sale.
This isnāt the first time Adaniās faced heat. A 2023 short-seller report accused the group of fraud and stock manipulation, with Indian courts ultimately siding with Adani. Now, Adani Group is calling the latest accusations ābaselessā and reaffirming its commitment to governance and compliance.
ā”ļøExtra Charge
Next, Ozempic? Pharmaceutical giants Eli Lilly and Novo Nordisk lobby employers to include drugs like Wegovy and Zepbound in employee benefits.
Chromeās Future in Jeopardy as an antitrust DOJ push could force Google to sell it, potentially fetching up to $20 billion.
G20 Summit Wrapped Up Tuesday, however, the consensus seems to be that leaders lacked strong commitments and specificity.
Expense Shenanigans Surge as employees push boundaries on their company credit cards, with plastic surgery, caravans and mortgage payments all expensed.
Bitcoin, XRP and Dogecoin are among the beneficiaries of SEC Chair Gary Genslerās resignation and President-elect Trumpās pro-crypto stance.
WCās Favourite Cartoon of the Week
Trump Picks Nominees by Gary McCoy, Shiloh, IL
**The cartoon does not reflect the opinions of the TWC crew, we just thought it was funny
Jargon of the Week
Subprime: Debt borrowed by individuals with poor or no credit history - hence, riskier but has a higher interest rate to compensate investors.
Auto-bond: A collateralized debt obligation much like mortgage-backed securities where the proceeds from auto loans are bundled into a debt security.
Tariff: A protectionist trade policy that levies a tax on the import of foreign goods, often leading to an increase in the price paid by consumers.
Front-loading: To spread costs/purchases towards the beginning of a process or business venture rather than spread across the projectās duration.
Short-seller: In this case, a firm that profits from a decline in a stockās price.