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- š Crypto Bells and Dividend Yells: A Holiday Edition: Dec. 8, Issue 5
š Crypto Bells and Dividend Yells: A Holiday Edition: Dec. 8, Issue 5
Good Moo-rning, Legends! š®āØ
Itās that time of year againāSpotify Wrapped is here, reminding us of our questionable taste in music (yes, āWhale Sounds for Sleep toā made the top 5, thank you very much). š¶š§ Meanwhile, Christmas is creeping closer, and the race is on to snag presents, deck the halls, and mentally prepare for endless Mariah Carey on repeat. šš
Markets (USD) - Weekly
NASDAQ | 19,859.77 | +0.81% |
S&P 500 | 6,090.27 | +0.25% |
D-JIA | 44,642.52 | -0.28% |
2-Year Yield | 4.112% | -8.00bps |
10-Year Yield | 4.170% | -0.50bps |
Bitcoin | $99,786.07 | +3.59% |
DIS | $116.73 | -1.02% |
December 5
āØš Mickeyās Mega Magic Bankrolls
Image Source: āI May Have to Spend Some of This Stuffā, Carl Barks
Disney is sprinkling some pixie dust on its shareholders with a 33% dividend boost, raising payouts to $1 per share, up from last yearās 75 cents. These payments will roll out in two 50-cent installments on Jan. 16 and July 23, 2025.
This comes hot on the heels of Disneyās impressive (fiscal)1 Q4 earnings which feature a $321 million streaming profit, $22.6 billion in total revenue (up 6% for the quarter) and a 39% quarterly growth for EPS. For the year, EPS grew by 32% to $4.97. Disney shares (DIS) finished Wednesday trading at $116.99 apiece and are up 29% YTD.
Looking ahead, Disney expects high single-digit EPS growth in 2025, speeding up to double digits by 2026. Additionally, the company is also planning to conjure up $15 billion in cash flow, $8 billion for new investments, and $3 billion for stock buybacks2 in FY2025.
December 4
Nis-missin' a CFO
Image Source: Tony Hisgett, Wikimedia Commons
Nissan and General Motors are hitting some serious bumps in the road as economic and strategic challenges pile up. Nissanās CFO Stephen Ma is reportedly on his way out, just as the company announced plans to cut 9,000 jobs. CEO Makoto Uchida has already taken a 50% pay cut this year.
Why all the belt-tightening? Nissan posted a Q3 operating loss of Ā„9.3 billion ($61 million), a sharp U-turn from last yearās Ā„190.7 billion ($1.27 billion) profit. With full-year operating income now just 30% of prior forecasts and the stock down 35% YTD, investors arenāt exactly feeling optimistic.
Over at General Motors, things arenāt much smoother. The automaker is in full-on damage control mode with its struggling China business, announcing a $5.6 billion overhaul. This includes a $2.9 billion write-down3 of partnerships with SAIC Motor and $2.7 billion in cuts to production, scrapping unprofitable models from its lineup. Once a key profit engine, GMās China operations have turned into a cash drain, made worse by Chinese subsidies favouring local brands as the global auto market braces for Trump-enomics.
December 4
š„The Silicon Smackdown: Chinaās Strikes Back
Image Source: Jacobs School of Engineering, UCSD
Chinaās going all-in on the tech trade war, banning exports of gallium, germanium, and antimonyācrucial materials for semiconductors. This comes after the US tightened export controls on advanced chip-making tech aimed at stalling Chinaās tech progress. Spoiler: Beijingās not playing nice.
Gallium and germanium might sound obscure, but theyāre tech-world MVPs, powering everything from phones and solar panels to night-vision goggles and satellites. And China? Itās the supplier, producing 94% of the worldās gallium and 83% of germaniumāa powerful leverage move that could shake global supply chains.
Meanwhile, global tech giants are sitting tight, thanks to some savvy stockpilingābut if the ban drags on, expect prices to spike and production slowdowns.
In the tech arms race, chips are kingāand this game is far from over.
December 3
BlackRockās Private-Credit Purchase
Image Source: Jim Henderson, Wikimedia Commons
BlackRock is shaking things up with its planned $12 billion all-stock purchase of HPS Investment Partners, a private credit giant managing $150 billion in assets. If all goes according to plan, the deal should close by mid-2025 after the usual due diligence4. This marks a big pivot from BlackRockās traditional āsafeā investing style focused on public equities.
The move isnāt out of the blueāWall Street heavyweights like KKR and Apollo have been doubling down on private credit, a market currently worth $1.7 trillion and projected to hit $3.5 trillion by 2028. With annual returns often hitting double digits, itās easy to see why BlackRock wants in on the action. If the deal goes through, itāll cement BlackRockās spot among the biggest players in Wall Streetās hottest market.
December 4
š Mitsubishiās Copper Caper
Image Source: Flickr
Mitsubishi Corp. has found itself in a $90 million tangle after uncovering a web of unauthorised copper trades created by its Shanghai-based trading manager, Gong Huayong. Allegedly, Gong was cooking up deals with companies tied to him personally, leaving Mitsubishi to foot the bill. Gong has since disappeared, and his phone? Cricketsā¦.
The scandal unravelled when Mitsubishi noticed customers in its copper business defaulting on payments that were due, triggering an internal probe. The investigation found that Gong allowed some companies to defer payments on copper deals, whilst striking deals with others that Mitsubishi didnāt even clear as legitimate counterparties.
While $90 million is pocket change for Mitsubishi (its shares werenāt even hit that badly), the hit to its reputation stings regardlessāespecially since this isnāt its first rogue trader rodeo. From the $2 billion copper disaster at Sumitomo in the ā90s to a $300 million oil loss in 2019, the history books are starting to look like a cautionary tale for the sogo shosha5 (ē·ååē¤¾).
As for Gong himself, a criminal complaint has been filed and the company says no more losses will be booked. However, Chinese employees at Mitsubishi are bracing for the fallout as they prepare for potentially higher scrutiny and harsher oversight.
ā”Extra Charge ļøļø
South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol declared martial law on Tuesday which was quickly rescinded amid public protests and parliamentary opposition. Yoon eluded impeachment by a narrow margin as his party boycotted the vote.
French PM Michel Barnier has been ousted via a no-confidence vote, collapsing his government just three months into his tenure (we reported on this last week btw š).
President Biden granted a full pardon to his son, erasing all federal charges and sparking debates about political favouritism.
Bitcoin briefly topped $100,00 before pulling back, marking a 40% rally since Trumpās re-election.
Walmart has completed its $2.3 billion acquisition of VIZIO, integrating the TV manufacturerās SmartCast OS into its advertising business in Walmart Connect.
Pope Francis goes electric after being gifted an electric G-Class by Mercedes-Benz, nicknamed the Popemobile.
WCās Favourite Cartoon of the Week
āThe Twelve Days of Tariffsā by Drew Sheneman, Tribune Content Agency
**Cartoon does not reflect the opinions of the TWC crew, we just thought it was funny
Jargon of the Week
Calendar vs Fiscal/Financial Quarters: Calendar quarters are three-month blocks beginning in January, Q1 = Jan - Mar. Fiscal quarters are also three-month blocks but can have a different start date. Disneyās Q1 starts on September 30.
Stock Buyback: A payout policy where a company repurchases outstanding shares (often directly from the market) and can increase the price of its stock.
Write-down: An accounting practice where an assetās book value is reduced because its book value is higher than its fair market value, becoming an impaired asset.
Due Diligence: A comprehensive assessment of a firm (often due to a merger or acquisition) that involves investigation to confirm relevant facts and financial information.
Sogo Shosha: Japanese trading companies with highly diversified business lines engaged in trading, logistics, resource exploration and other services.
Martial Law: Temporary rule by the military during times of crisis, when civil/parliamentary authorities are believed to be unable to function.
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